Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Cleveland Browns 4th & 18 at the 62

Cleveland Browns 17 – New York Jets 17

(8:05) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 36 yards to NYJ 26, Center-50-R.Sunahara, downed by CLE-17-J.Baker.

The Three Options

GO -1.88 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 44, worth +3.01 EP
75% chance to fail: New York Jets takes over around their own 62, worth -3.49 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model