Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 15 at the 84

Los Angeles Chargers 3 – Jacksonville Jaguars 7

(13:04) 16-J.Scott punts 51 yards to JAX 33, Center-47-J.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.99 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.15 EP
68% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 84, worth -4.98 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model