Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Tennessee Titans 4th & 19 at the 94

Tennessee Titans 3 – Seattle Seahawks 10

(8:56) 3-J.Hekker punts 39 yards to TEN 45, Center-46-M.Cox. 22-R.Shaheed to TEN 26 for 19 yards (44-M.Brown).

The Three Options

GO -3.67 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 75, worth +1.42 EP
74% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 94, worth -5.43 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (111 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model