Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 84

Los Angeles Rams 17 – Carolina Panthers 7

(2:56) 42-E.Evans punts 51 yards to CAR 33, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 23-T.Etienne MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LA-51-T.Reeder at CAR 41.

The Three Options

GO -2.18 EP

50% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 78, worth +0.50 EP
50% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 84, worth -4.81 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model