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ATL Away

Atlanta Falcons

HC Raheem Morris
@
PIT Home

Pittsburgh Steelers

HC Mike McCarthy
Sunday 2026-09-13 · 13:00 Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh US ☀️ Clear Spread 3.0 O/U 42.5

Win Probability

ATL
42.3%
PIT
57.7%
☀️ Clear

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
  • Aaron Rodgers (PIT): -0.038 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

ATL 22
PIT 23
Projected margin: PIT by 1 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 1

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.