← Home
Wednesday 2026-09-09 · 20:20
Lumen Field, Seattle US
☀️ Clear
Spread 3.0
O/U 44.5
Win Probability
Clear
Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- SEA defense: -0.190 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
- NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- SEA offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
- Drake Maye (NE): +0.119 EPA/dropback in prior starts
Predicted Final Score
NE
23
–
SEA
25
Projected margin: SEA by 2
Projected total: 48
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 1
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.