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NYJ Away

New York Jets

HC Aaron Glenn
@
TEN Home

Tennessee Titans

HC Robert Saleh
Sunday 2026-09-13 · 13:00 Nissan Stadium, Nashville US ☀️ Clear Spread 1.5 O/U 39.5

Win Probability

NYJ
30.8%
TEN
69.2%
☀️ Clear

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
  • TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • QB edge to TEN: Cam Ward (TEN) -0.144 vs Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.200 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

NYJ 21
TEN 24
Projected margin: TEN by 3 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 1

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.