4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
SEA Away

Seattle Seahawks

HC Mike Macdonald
@
ARI Home

Arizona Cardinals

HC Jonathan Gannon
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 16:25 State Farm Stadium, Glendale US 🏟 Dome Spread -10.0 O/U 44.5

Win Probability

SEA
63.3%
ARI
36.7%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • ARI defense: +0.195 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
  • SEA offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • SEA defense: -0.190 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • SEA on 4 more days rest than ARI
  • Jacoby Brissett (ARI): -0.005 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

SEA 29
ARI 20
Projected margin: SEA by 9 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 2

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.