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LAC Away

Los Angeles Chargers

HC Jim Harbaugh
@
BUF Home

Buffalo Bills

HC Sean McDermott
Sunday 2026-09-27 · 13:00 Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US ❓ Unknown Spread 3.0 O/U 48.5

Win Probability

LAC
17.9%
BUF
82.1%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • Josh Allen (BUF): +0.140 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
  • LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • BUF on 3 more days rest than LAC

Predicted Final Score

LAC 20
BUF 29
Projected margin: BUF by 9 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 3

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.