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Sunday 2026-09-27 · 13:00
EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville US
❓ Unknown
Spread 1.5
O/U 45.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- JAX defense: -0.160 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
- NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
- NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- Drake Maye (NE): +0.119 EPA/dropback in prior starts
Predicted Final Score
NE
23
–
JAX
26
Projected margin: JAX by 3
Projected total: 49
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 3
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.