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NYJ Away

New York Jets

HC Aaron Glenn
@
DET Home

Detroit Lions

HC Dan Campbell
Sunday 2026-09-27 · 13:00 Ford Field, Detroit US 🏟 Dome Spread 9.5 O/U 45.5

Win Probability

NYJ
15.7%
DET
84.3%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • QB edge to DET: Jared Goff (DET) +0.123 vs Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.200 EPA/dropback
  • NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
  • DET defense: +0.062 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • DET on 3 more days rest than NYJ

Predicted Final Score

NYJ 17
DET 28
Projected margin: DET by 11 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 3

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.