← Home
Monday 2026-10-05 · 20:15
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans US
🏟 Dome
Spread 2.5
O/U 45.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- NO defense: -0.173 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
- ATL on 3 more days rest than NO
Predicted Final Score
ATL
22
–
NO
23
Projected margin: NO by 1
Projected total: 45
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 4
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.