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DEN Away

Denver Broncos

HC Sean Payton
@
SF Home

San Francisco 49ers

HC Kyle Shanahan
Sunday 2026-10-04 · 16:25 Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara US ❓ Unknown Spread 2.5 O/U 46.5

Win Probability

DEN
37.1%
SF
62.9%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • Brock Purdy (SF): +0.177 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • SF defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
  • DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

DEN 23
SF 25
Projected margin: SF by 2 Projected total: 48

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 4

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.