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GB Away

Green Bay Packers

HC Matt LaFleur
@
TB Home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HC Todd Bowles
Sunday 2026-10-04 · 13:00 Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US ❓ Unknown Spread -1.5 O/U 47.5

Win Probability

GB
56.5%
TB
43.5%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • GB offense: +0.102 EPA/play over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
  • QB edge to GB: Baker Mayfield (TB) -0.083 vs Jordan Love (GB) +0.241 EPA/dropback
  • TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • GB on 3 more days rest than TB

Predicted Final Score

GB 26
TB 22
Projected margin: GB by 4 Projected total: 48

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 4

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.