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Sunday 2026-10-04 · 16:05
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis US
🏟 Dome
Spread 7.5
O/U 43.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
- MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
Predicted Final Score
MIA
21
–
MIN
25
Projected margin: MIN by 4
Projected total: 46
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 4
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.