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Monday 2026-10-12 · 20:15
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US
🏟 Dome
Spread 3.0
O/U 53.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- LA offense: +0.179 EPA/play over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
- QB edge to LA: Matthew Stafford (LA) +0.239 vs Josh Allen (BUF) +0.140 EPA/dropback
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- LA defense: +0.034 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (18th in the league)
Predicted Final Score
BUF
26
–
LA
27
Projected margin: LA by 1
Projected total: 53
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 5
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.