4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
CHI Away

Chicago Bears

HC Ben Johnson
@
GB Home

Green Bay Packers

HC Matt LaFleur
Sunday 2026-10-11 · 16:25 Lambeau Field, Green Bay US ❓ Unknown Spread 3.0 O/U 49.5

Win Probability

CHI
35.9%
GB
64.1%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • GB offense: +0.102 EPA/play over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
  • Jordan Love (GB): +0.241 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • GB defense: +0.049 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (21st in the league)
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

CHI 24
GB 26
Projected margin: GB by 2 Projected total: 50

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 5

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.