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DEN Away

Denver Broncos

HC Sean Payton
@
LAC Home

Los Angeles Chargers

HC Jim Harbaugh
Sunday 2026-10-11 · 16:05 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome Spread 2.5 O/U 44.5

Win Probability

DEN
47.5%
LAC
52.5%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

DEN 22
LAC 23
Projected margin: LAC by 1 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 5

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.