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HOU Away

Houston Texans

HC DeMeco Ryans
@
TEN Home

Tennessee Titans

HC Robert Saleh
Sunday 2026-10-11 · 13:00 Nissan Stadium, Nashville US ❓ Unknown Spread -3.5 O/U 43.5

Win Probability

HOU
58.3%
TEN
41.7%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • Cam Ward (TEN): -0.144 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

HOU 25
TEN 19
Projected margin: HOU by 6 Projected total: 44

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 5

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.