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Sunday 2026-10-11 · 13:00
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough US
❓ Unknown
Spread 8.5
O/U 44.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- LV offense: -0.230 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
- NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- QB edge to NE: Drake Maye (NE) +0.119 vs Kirk Cousins (LV) -0.046 EPA/dropback
- NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
Predicted Final Score
LV
19
–
NE
28
Projected margin: NE by 9
Projected total: 47
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 5
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.