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LV Away

Las Vegas Raiders

HC Klint Kubliak
@
NE Home

New England Patriots

HC Mike Vrabel
Sunday 2026-10-11 · 13:00 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough US ❓ Unknown Spread 8.5 O/U 44.5

Win Probability

LV
16.6%
NE
83.4%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • LV offense: -0.230 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
  • NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • QB edge to NE: Drake Maye (NE) +0.119 vs Kirk Cousins (LV) -0.046 EPA/dropback
  • NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

LV 19
NE 28
Projected margin: NE by 9 Projected total: 47

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 5

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.