4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
ARI Away

Arizona Cardinals

HC Jonathan Gannon
@
LA Home

Los Angeles Rams

HC Sean McVay
Sunday 2026-10-18 · 16:05 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome Spread 13.5 O/U 47.5

Win Probability

ARI
22.8%
LA
77.2%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • LA offense: +0.179 EPA/play over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
  • QB edge to LA: Matthew Stafford (LA) +0.239 vs Jacoby Brissett (ARI) -0.005 EPA/dropback
  • ARI defense: +0.195 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • LA defense: +0.034 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (18th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

ARI 21
LA 28
Projected margin: LA by 7 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 6

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.