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Sunday 2026-10-18 · 13:00
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis US
🏟 Dome
Spread 3.5
O/U 47.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
- QB edge to IND: Daniel Jones (IND) +0.164 vs Cam Ward (TEN) -0.144 EPA/dropback
- IND defense: +0.067 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
- IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
Predicted Final Score
TEN
20
–
IND
25
Projected margin: IND by 5
Projected total: 45
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 6
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.