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Thursday 2026-10-22 · 20:15 ET
Soldier Field, Chicago US
☀️ Clear
Spread 3.0
O/U 50.5
Win Probability
Clear
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
- Caleb Williams (CHI): +0.140 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)
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Predicted Final Score
NE
24
17–31
–
CHI
26
19–33
Projected margin: CHI by 2
Projected total: 50
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 7
NE
No players on the report.
CHI
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 7 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
