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Sunday 2026-10-25 · 09:30 ET
Stade de France, Saint-Denis FR
🏟 Dome
Spread -3.5
O/U 44.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- Neutral site — no home-field edge
- NO defense: -0.173 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- NO offense: -0.011 EPA/play over its last 8 games (19th in the league)
- PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT): -0.055 EPA/dropback in prior starts
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
PIT
23
16–30
–
NO
22
15–29
Projected margin: PIT by 1
Projected total: 45
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 7
PIT
No players on the report.
NO
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 7 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
