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Sunday 2026-10-25 · 09:30
Stade de France, Saint-Denis FR
🏟 Dome
Spread -2.5
O/U 42.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- Neutral site — no home-field edge
- NO defense: -0.173 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT): -0.038 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- PIT crossing 5 time zone(s)
Predicted Final Score
PIT
22
–
NO
23
Projected margin: NO by 1
Projected total: 45
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 7
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.