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SF Away

San Francisco 49ers

6-0 HC Kyle Shanahan
@
ATL Home

Atlanta Falcons

2-4 HC Raheem Morris
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome Spread -3.5 O/U 50.5

Win Probability

SF
46.7%
ATL
53.3%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • SF defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
  • Brock Purdy (SF): +0.249 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

SF 24 17–31
–
ATL 26 19–33
Projected margin: ATL by 2 Projected total: 50

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 7

SF

No players on the report.

ATL

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 7 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.