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SF Away

San Francisco 49ers

HC Kyle Shanahan
@
ATL Home

Atlanta Falcons

HC Raheem Morris
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome Spread -4.5 O/U 47.5

Win Probability

SF
44.2%
ATL
55.8%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • Brock Purdy (SF): +0.177 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

SF 25
ATL 26
Projected margin: ATL by 1 Projected total: 51

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 7

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.