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Indianapolis Colts

2-4 HC Shane Steichen
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Jacksonville Jaguars

4-2 HC Liam Coen
Sunday 2026-11-01 · 13:00 ET EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

IND
21.2%
JAX
78.8%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • QB edge to JAX: Trevor Lawrence (JAX) +0.289 vs Daniel Jones (IND) -0.037 EPA/dropback
  • JAX defense: -0.160 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • JAX on 7 more days rest than IND
  • JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

IND 19 12–26
–
JAX 29 22–36
Projected margin: JAX by 10 Projected total: 48

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 8

IND

No players on the report.

JAX

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 8 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.