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Monday 2026-11-09 · 20:15 ET
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
- Josh Allen (BUF): +0.196 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- Indoors — weather neutralised
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Predicted Final Score
BUF
26
19–33
–
MIN
20
13–27
Projected margin: BUF by 6
Projected total: 46
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 9
BUF
No players on the report.
MIN
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 9 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.