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Buffalo Bills

5-1 HC Sean McDermott
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MIN Home

Minnesota Vikings

5-0 HC Kevin O'Connell
Monday 2026-11-09 · 20:15 ET U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

BUF
62.2%
MIN
37.8%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
  • Josh Allen (BUF): +0.196 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Indoors — weather neutralised

Predicted Final Score

BUF 26 19–33
–
MIN 20 13–27
Projected margin: BUF by 6 Projected total: 46

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 9

BUF

No players on the report.

MIN

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 9 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.