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KC Away

Kansas City Chiefs

HC Andy Reid
@
ATL Home

Atlanta Falcons

HC Raheem Morris
Sunday 2026-11-15 · 13:00 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

KC
36.6%
ATL
63.4%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
  • Patrick Mahomes (KC): +0.155 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

KC 22
ATL 23
Projected margin: ATL by 1 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 10

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.