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NE Away

New England Patriots

HC Mike Vrabel
@
DET Home

Detroit Lions

HC Dan Campbell
Sunday 2026-11-15 · 09:30 FC Bayern Munich Stadium, Munich DE 🏟 Dome Spread -1.5 O/U 49.5

Win Probability

NE
55.6%
DET
44.4%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • Neutral site — no home-field edge
  • NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • DET defense: +0.062 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • NE crossing 6 time zone(s)
  • QB edge to DET: Jared Goff (DET) +0.123 vs Drake Maye (NE) +0.119 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

NE 26
DET 23
Projected margin: NE by 3 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 10

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.