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Thursday 2026-11-19 · 20:15 ET
Reliant Stadium, Houston US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- Daniel Jones (IND): -0.037 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
IND
20
13–27
–
HOU
23
16–30
Projected margin: HOU by 3
Projected total: 43
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 11
IND
No players on the report.
HOU
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 11 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
