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Sunday 2026-11-22 · 13:00 ET
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- QB edge to BUF: Josh Allen (BUF) +0.196 vs Malik Willis (MIA) -0.058 EPA/dropback
- MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
- MIA offense: -0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
- BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
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Predicted Final Score
MIA
20
13–27
–
BUF
29
22–36
Projected margin: BUF by 9
Projected total: 49
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 11
MIA
No players on the report.
BUF
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 11 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
