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PIT Away

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2 HC Mike McCarthy
@
PHI Home

Philadelphia Eagles

2-4 HC Nick Sirianni
Sunday 2026-11-22 · 16:25 ET Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

PIT
40.0%
PHI
60.0%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • PHI offense: +0.006 EPA/play over its last 8 games (16th in the league)
  • PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
  • PHI defense: -0.076 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
  • PHI on 7 more days rest than PIT
  • QB edge to PIT: Tanner McKee (PHI) -0.054 vs Aaron Rodgers (PIT) -0.055 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

PIT 22 15–29
–
PHI 23 16–30
Projected margin: PHI by 1 Projected total: 45

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 11

PIT

No players on the report.

PHI

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 11 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.