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Sunday 2026-11-22 · 13:00
AT&T Stadium, Arlington US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
- DAL defense: +0.179 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- QB edge to DAL: Dak Prescott (DAL) +0.161 vs Cam Ward (TEN) -0.144 EPA/dropback
- DAL offense: +0.081 EPA/play over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
Predicted Final Score
TEN
20
–
DAL
27
Projected margin: DAL by 7
Projected total: 47
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 11
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.