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Sunday 2026-11-29 · 13:00 ET
Reliant Stadium, Houston US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- BAL offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- BAL defense: -0.040 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (12th in the league)
- HOU on 3 more days rest than BAL
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Predicted Final Score
BAL
23
16–30
–
HOU
24
17–31
Projected margin: HOU by 1
Projected total: 47
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 12
BAL
No players on the report.
HOU
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 12 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
