← Home
Sunday 2026-11-29 · 13:00
Reliant Stadium, Houston US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- BAL offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
- HOU on 3 more days rest than BAL
Predicted Final Score
BAL
23
–
HOU
24
Projected margin: HOU by 1
Projected total: 47
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 12
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.