4TH&DATA
EN ES
Home
CAR Away

Carolina Panthers

3-2 HC Dave Canales
@
TB Home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1-5 HC Todd Bowles
Monday 2026-11-30 · 20:15 ET Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

CAR
46.9%
TB
53.1%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • Baker Mayfield (TB): -0.119 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • TB offense: -0.020 EPA/play over its last 8 games (21st in the league)
  • CAR offense: -0.022 EPA/play over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

CAR 23 16–30
–
TB 24 17–31
Projected margin: TB by 1 Projected total: 47

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 12

CAR

No players on the report.

TB

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 12 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.