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CHI Away

Chicago Bears

HC Ben Johnson
@
DET Home

Detroit Lions

HC Dan Campbell
Thursday 2026-11-26 · 13:00 Ford Field, Detroit US 🏟 Dome Spread 2.5 O/U 53.5

Win Probability

CHI
41.7%
DET
58.3%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • DET defense: +0.062 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • Jared Goff (DET): +0.123 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

CHI 23
DET 24
Projected margin: DET by 1 Projected total: 47

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 12

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.