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DEN Away

Denver Broncos

4-2 HC Sean Payton
@
PIT Home

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2 HC Mike McCarthy
Friday 2026-11-27 · 15:00 ET Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

DEN
42.1%
PIT
57.9%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • Aaron Rodgers (PIT): -0.055 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

DEN 23 16–30
–
PIT 24 17–31
Projected margin: PIT by 1 Projected total: 47

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 12

DEN

No players on the report.

PIT

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 12 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.