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Thursday 2026-11-26 · 20:20
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US
❓ Unknown
Spread 2.5
O/U 50.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
- QB edge to BUF: Josh Allen (BUF) +0.140 vs Patrick Mahomes (KC) +0.155 EPA/dropback
Predicted Final Score
KC
21
–
BUF
28
Projected margin: BUF by 7
Projected total: 49
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 12
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.