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New England Patriots

HC Mike Vrabel
@
LAC Home

Los Angeles Chargers

HC Jim Harbaugh
Sunday 2026-11-29 · 20:20 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

NE
57.2%
LAC
42.8%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • NE on 7 more days rest than LAC
  • NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • Drake Maye (NE): +0.119 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

NE 25
LAC 21
Projected margin: NE by 4 Projected total: 46

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 12

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.