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Houston Texans

2-4 HC DeMeco Ryans
@
PIT Home

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2 HC Mike McCarthy
Sunday 2026-12-06 · 20:20 ET Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

HOU
42.4%
PIT
57.6%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • Aaron Rodgers (PIT): -0.055 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

HOU 23 16–30
–
PIT 24 17–31
Projected margin: PIT by 1 Projected total: 47

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 13

HOU

No players on the report.

PIT

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 13 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.