4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
TB Away

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HC Todd Bowles
@
BAL Home

Baltimore Ravens

HC Jesse Minter
Sunday 2026-12-13 · 13:00 M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

TB
26.5%
BAL
73.5%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • BAL on 7 more days rest than TB
  • Baker Mayfield (TB): -0.083 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • BAL offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
  • TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • BAL defense: -0.040 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (12th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

TB 21
BAL 25
Projected margin: BAL by 4 Projected total: 46

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 14

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.