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Sunday 2026-12-13 · 13:00 ET
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- Baker Mayfield (TB): -0.119 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- BAL on 7 more days rest than TB
- Lamar Jackson (BAL): +0.069 EPA/dropback in prior starts
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Predicted Final Score
TB
21
14–28
–
BAL
26
19–33
Projected margin: BAL by 5
Projected total: 47
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 14
TB
No players on the report.
BAL
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 14 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
