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ATL Away

Atlanta Falcons

2-4 HC Raheem Morris
@
WAS Home

Washington Commanders

1-4-1 HC Dan Quinn
Sunday 2026-12-20 · 13:00 ET Northwest Stadium, Landover US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

ATL
48.1%
WAS
51.9%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • WAS defense: +0.166 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
  • Jayden Daniels (WAS): -0.001 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

ATL 23 16–30
–
WAS 24 17–31
Projected margin: WAS by 1 Projected total: 47

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 15

ATL

No players on the report.

WAS

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.