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Chicago Bears

HC Ben Johnson
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Buffalo Bills

HC Sean McDermott
Saturday 2026-12-19 · 20:20 Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

CHI
27.1%
BUF
72.9%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • Josh Allen (BUF): +0.140 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

CHI 21
BUF 28
Projected margin: BUF by 7 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 15

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.