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Indianapolis Colts

2-4 HC Shane Steichen
@
TEN Home

Tennessee Titans

1-5 HC Robert Saleh
Sunday 2026-12-20 · 13:00 ET Nissan Stadium, Nashville US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

IND
50.9%
TEN
49.1%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • QB edge to IND: Cam Ward (TEN) -0.150 vs Daniel Jones (IND) -0.037 EPA/dropback
  • TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

IND 25 18–32
–
TEN 21 14–28
Projected margin: IND by 4 Projected total: 46

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 15

IND

No players on the report.

TEN

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.