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Sunday 2026-12-20 · 13:00 ET
Nissan Stadium, Nashville US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
- QB edge to IND: Cam Ward (TEN) -0.150 vs Daniel Jones (IND) -0.037 EPA/dropback
- TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
- IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
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Predicted Final Score
IND
25
18–32
–
TEN
21
14–28
Projected margin: IND by 4
Projected total: 46
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 15
IND
No players on the report.
TEN
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.