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Sunday 2026-12-20 · 13:00 ET
Reliant Stadium, Houston US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
- Trevor Lawrence (JAX): +0.289 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- Indoors — weather neutralised
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
JAX
21
14–28
–
HOU
25
18–32
Projected margin: HOU by 4
Projected total: 46
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 15
JAX
No players on the report.
HOU
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
