4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
NO Away

New Orleans Saints

HC Kellen Moore
@
TB Home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HC Todd Bowles
Sunday 2026-12-20 · 13:00 Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

NO
45.9%
TB
54.1%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • NO defense: -0.173 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • Baker Mayfield (TB): -0.083 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

NO 22
TB 23
Projected margin: TB by 1 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 15

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.