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Sunday 2026-12-20 · 16:05 ET
State Farm Stadium, Glendale US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- ARI defense: +0.195 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
- NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- ARI on 7 more days rest than NYJ
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- ARI offense: -0.007 EPA/play over its last 8 games (18th in the league)
- QB edge to ARI: Jacoby Brissett (ARI) -0.014 vs Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.069 EPA/dropback
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
NYJ
21
14–28
–
ARI
26
19–33
Projected margin: ARI by 5
Projected total: 47
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 15
NYJ
No players on the report.
ARI
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
