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Sunday 2026-12-20 · 16:05
State Farm Stadium, Glendale US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- ARI defense: +0.195 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
- NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- QB edge to ARI: Jacoby Brissett (ARI) -0.005 vs Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.200 EPA/dropback
- ARI on 7 more days rest than NYJ
- Indoors — weather neutralised
Predicted Final Score
NYJ
20
–
ARI
26
Projected margin: ARI by 6
Projected total: 46
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 15
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.