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SF Away

San Francisco 49ers

6-0 HC Kyle Shanahan
@
LAC Home

Los Angeles Chargers

0-6 HC Jim Harbaugh
Thursday 2026-12-17 · 20:15 ET SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

SF
50.8%
LAC
49.2%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • QB edge to SF: Justin Herbert (LAC) -0.130 vs Brock Purdy (SF) +0.249 EPA/dropback
  • LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • SF defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
  • SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised

Predicted Final Score

SF 24 17–31
–
LAC 22 15–29
Projected margin: SF by 2 Projected total: 46

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 15

SF

No players on the report.

LAC

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 15 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.