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Buffalo Bills

HC Sean McDermott
@
DEN Home

Denver Broncos

HC Sean Payton
Friday 2026-12-25 · 16:30 Empower Field at Mile High, Denver US ❓ Unknown Spread -1.5 O/U 46.5

Win Probability

BUF
53.7%
DEN
46.3%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • Josh Allen (BUF): +0.140 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

BUF 26
DEN 20
Projected margin: BUF by 6 Projected total: 46

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 16

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.