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Green Bay Packers

4-2 HC Matt LaFleur
@
CHI Home

Chicago Bears

4-2 HC Ben Johnson
Friday 2026-12-25 · 13:00 ET Soldier Field, Chicago US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

GB
44.7%
CHI
55.3%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • GB offense: +0.102 EPA/play over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • GB defense: +0.049 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (21st in the league)
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)
  • QB edge to GB: Caleb Williams (CHI) +0.140 vs Jordan Love (GB) +0.178 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

GB 25 18–32
–
CHI 26 19–33
Projected margin: CHI by 1 Projected total: 51

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 16

GB

No players on the report.

CHI

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 16 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.